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Government Consults on Changing Drawdown

Posted by: Scott Taylor Posted Date: Friday, 16 July 2010 14:02
The coalition government announced its intention to change the rules governing pension income early on, immediately pushing back the age for compulsory annuity purchase from 75 to 77.
 
In fact, there is no current requirement to buy an annuity at 75 but there are complex rules for those who wish to continue to defer annuity purchase.
 
Pension rules are really determined by the official view that an annuity is preferable to drawing an income directly from the investment fund within the pension.  From the government’s perspective, there are some good reasons to favour annuities.  The income is secure and there is no prospect of it running out before death leaving the state to pick up a higher benefits bill.  The pensioner has also said goodbye to their pension fund so there is no chance of them starting to resent the fact that their nice fund will not pass on to their children.
 
However, annuities are not perfect and during the nineties the rules were changed to allow drawdown of the fund, mainly because annuity rates were falling at the time and it was hoped that they would recover (some hope!) and, therefore, deferring purchase would be helpful.  Since then, of course, headline annuity rates have continued to fall as a result of persistently low medium term interest rates and increasing life expectancy.  Index linked annuity rates for those in good health in their sixties are stuck around the 3% or 4% level, which means pension funds have to be that much bigger than before.
 
For those taking out an index linked annuity, their main concern, and about the only risk they face, is dying too young and getting poor value from their capital.
 
Someone retiring and willing to take more risk has the prospect of a higher level of income, initially at least.  If you can live with the risk of inflation eroding your income, a level annuity can provide an income which could be nearly double that of an index linked annuity at outset.  However, if inflation rears its ugly head, you could find yourself entering your most vulnerable years with a much reduced standard of living.  Falling back on the mercy of the state towards the end of your life is hardly an appealing prospect for someone who has saved hard to avoid it.
 
The alternative (and the main object of the government’s attentions in this review) is to draw an income from the investments directly.  This is risky, expensive and complex but does offer the potential for a higher level of inflation protected income coupled with a great deal more flexibility.  It was never intended to be used without professional advice nor was it seen as a mass market solution.  It has, however, proved popular and is set to become increasingly so.
 
So, the government has now set out to see whether some of the annoying and seemingly petty restrictions can be removed in return for a degree of protection for the state, we don’t want the risk takers back with their begging bowl if they have blown all their cash.
 
In any case, pensions may become more attractive to investors than they are at present.

Changes to CGT Could Fuel a Housing Boom

Posted by: Scott Taylor Posted Date: Monday, 28 June 2010 08:44
Overall, the budget delivered few surprises and almost everyone expects to pay a bit more tax and receive lower benefits for some time to come.  The surprise, if there was one, was that Capital Gains Tax did not increase by as much as was expected.
 
CGT is, to some extent, a voluntary tax; rarely does someone have to sell an asset which has increased in value, they can choose to keep it.  Also, with generous exemptions and the flexibility that being married or in a civil partnership provides, gradual disposal of, say, a share portfolio could be done with little tax arising.
 
Gains also die with you (to be replaced by Inheritance Tax) so the next generation can start afresh.
 
Where CGT does pose a problem, however, is to owners of large, indivisible illiquid assets, i.e. real estate.  You cannot sell a house gradually, the gain is realised in one hit, so some impact on the markets for buy to let properties and holiday homes is anticipated.  But, at a top rate of 28%, compared with 50% for income, CGT still looks quite appealing.
 
However, there is one investment which has a track record (at least, in the public’s perception) of delivering consistent returns, presents a number of fringe benefits and where all gains are completely free of CGT; your home.  An investment property would have to grow in value by nearly 40% more than a home simply to cover the extra tax, and it probably will not.
 
However, the property market has rarely shown any sign of being influenced by rational thought and the impact of the tax may well be muted.  The changes will not have done anything to dispel the belief that you should tie up as much money as possible in your own home and next time we wring our hands about why we are obsessed with property in the UK, we would do well to remember that.

BP takes one for the team

Posted by: Scott Taylor Posted Date: Thursday, 17 June 2010 16:23
When the truth is finally revealed about the cause of the Mexican Gulf oil disaster, it may be that it was a combination of back luck, poor judgement, complacency and corner cutting.  Having spent the last few weeks laying into ‘British Petroleum’, the US political establishment has discovered that it could have been any of the major oil companies as BP were employing standard operating procedure in the Gulf aided and abetted by a complicit regulator.  BP messed up first and had to ‘take one for the team’.  Looking and sounding a bit foreign did not help their cause, nor did ham fisted PR skills.
 
All of the companies had disaster plans which made provision for saving walruses, not a common sight in the sub-tropical waters between Mexico and Florida, so, presumably, they had simply copied the plan (each of them had the same one) prepared for Arctic waters without making the effort to modify it.
 
By fluffing it so badly, BP may well have spoilt it for everyone as it is possible that the Gulf will be off limits for a while, at least until the stable door can be bolted by a newly invigorated regulator. 
 
BP has been persuaded to set aside $20bn for the cleanup and compensation costs.  This achieves a number of objectives; investors gain a degree of certainty about the cost, BP starts to turn a PR corner, politicians can claim a victory and BP may well have salvaged a future for its US operations.
 
One commentator in the FT drew a parallel between BP having to fund every cent of the clean up and compensation costs, having threaten a few thousand jobs and polluted the environment, with the taxpayer funded bail out of the banks.  The banks, of course, were technically bust and had brought the world economy to the brink of meltdown.
 
So, it seems, if you are going to mess up, it pays to do it spectacularly and £20bn just does not cut the mustard these days.

 

 

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