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Timing is Everything

Posted by: Scott Taylor Posted Date: Tuesday, 11 March 2008 12:14

In Politics, as in Comedy, timing is everything and is seems to be sadly missing at the Treasury.  Not long after Alastair Darling unveiled his much vilified master plan to simplify Capital Gains Tax in an effort to clip the wings of the Private Equity Overlords, it seems that the world has moved on.

Having committed Revenue and Customs and the rest of the country to an expensive and time consuming exercise to change the basis of CGT, the Private Equity outfits are starting to fall upon hard times, if the experience of Blackstone amongst others is anything to go by.  The collapsing credit markets have made it very difficult to make money buying listed companies with borrowed money so the Government will be flogging a dead horse in trying to extract significant revenue.  Any that are making money will probably relocate to somewhere more accommodating.

Once again, policy makers have shown themselves to be ignorant of a couple of truths; that markets will normally move to eliminate excess profits and the law of unforeseen consequences will apply.  For some reason, politicians seem to think it is possible to have free markets and individuals and at the same time stop some people becoming very wealthy indeed.  Still, it does detract from all the muckraking taking place in Westminster now that the spotlight has fallen on that particular gravy train.  Business people are at least honest that they are doing it to become wealthy, our MPs could learn from that candour.

CGT Changes Face Opposition

Posted by: Scott Taylor Posted Date: Monday, 15 October 2007 02:58

Alistair Darling seems to have achieved the unprecedented in uniting almost every interested group against his proposed changes to Capital Gains Tax.  In essence, from next April, business tax payers, including entrepreneurs and those in holding shares in their employing company will see their tax bills rise in most instances.  Many private investors, including second property owners will pay much lower rates of tax, especially if they are high rate taxpayers.

To recap, the Government had been under pressure to ‘do something’ about the unseemly profits being hoovered up by the nasty private equity firms taking over our nice British companies, improving how they are run and increasing the their profits.  History tells us that these situations tend to sort themselves out, eventually.  Existing owners of companies were, surely, going to work out that they were losing out eventually, were they not.  They may have even started to scrutinise how those companies were run and wonder whether it might be done a little better.

I cannot see that this modest tax hike will bring private equity buy outs to a halt, of much more importance to them is the cost of borrowing money, which has been rising, and the willingness of existing owners to sell up cheaply, which has been decreasing.

Anyway, if the Government’s track record on reform is anything to go by, this ‘simplification’ of CGT will be rolled back quite a bit with some equally poorly thought through amendments.  Given the politician’s natural fear of bad headlines, I do wonder why they do not set about making these changes over time.  Of course, whilst that approach may prevent disasters it does mean that there would be fewer sexy grand plans.  No bad thing.
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